Model year report

2015 Ford Expedition: what breaks, and at what mileage

What breaks on the 2015 Ford Expedition

On the 2015 Ford Expedition, the failure owners report most often is other electrical problem, and the reports cluster around 95,000 miles. The earliest to appear is other speed control problem, reported by a median of 45,000 miles. Overall it scores 69 out of 100, high risk for a 2015.

High risk for a 2015 — 188th riskiest of the 273 2015 vehicles we can rate. 229 owner reports; fleet size estimated from this year's own recall paperwork.

The failures owners actually file about

Owners have reported 47 named failure modes on the 2015 Ford Expedition, and the three most-reported carry 24% of everything filed, which is an unusually even spread for one model year.

Other electrical problem leads with 19 reports, about 0.6 per 1,000 vehicles and with the middle half of reports between 72k to 115,000 miles.

Other engine problem follows with 18 reports, usually reported between 38k to 80,000 miles. 3 of those reports mention a fire.

Other fuel system problem follows with 18 reports, usually reported between 45k to 75,000 miles.

By system, the reports fall mostly into engine (34), electrical (33) and adas (25).

When these failures get reported

152 of the reports on the 2015 Ford Expedition came with an odometer reading, and half of those were filed before 69,000 miles.

Cumulatively, 35% by 50,000 miles, 71% by 100,000 miles and 93% by 150,000 miles of the dated reports had been filed, with 4 filed above the top of the chart.

The busiest stretch is between 70,000 and 80,000 miles, which alone holds 13% of the dated reports.

20% of the dated reports were filed below 36,000 miles.

In the order they tend to show up: other speed control problem around 45k, other powertrain problem around 54k, other engine problem around 55k and other fuel system problem around 56k.

Median

Other electrical problem

94k
Other engine problem

55k
Other fuel system problem

56k
Other powertrain problem

54k
Blower motor or climate control failure

120k
Other speed control problem

45k
Other driver assistance problem

78k
Other visibility problem

113k
Overheating

160k
Wiring harness or short circuit

139k
Other body or interior problem

4k
Timing chain, belt or tensioner failure

134k

Tick median reported mileage Solid middle half of reports Faint 10th to 90th percentile Colour how bad the failure is when it happens

Showing the 12 most-reported failure modes of 47. The full list is in the table below.

How reports accumulate

Share of reports filed by each mileage

half by 69k

Every report with an odometer reading, cumulative, from 0 to 200,000 miles. A further 4 reports came in above that, which is why the line stops short of the top. A curve that climbs early is a car with early problems, whatever its total.

Line share of reports filed by that mileage
Dashed the median reported mileage

How bad it is when it goes

Across the named modes, 7 mention a crash, 8 a fire and 3 an injury. Those are the words owners used in their own complaints, and NHTSA does not verify them, but they are the closest thing in this data to a measure of what a failure actually did.

The average severity weight across every report on this year is 4.35, where a stalled engine or a failed airbag weighs many times more than a rattling trim panel, and a figure this high means the reports are dominated by failures with safety consequences rather than annoyances. The weighting is set out in full on the methodology page.

What the top failures cost to put right, as editorial estimates for an independent US shop rather than figures from NHTSA: other electrical problem at $250–$2,000, other engine problem at $300–$4,000, other fuel system problem at $300–$2,200 and other powertrain problem at $400–$4,500. Dealer labour, a seized bolt or a part that is no longer made can push any of these past the top of its range.

29% of the reports on this year sit in the engine, transmission, drivetrain or cooling systems — the four where a repair bill is usually four figures.

Every reported failure mode

Mileage figures are percentiles of owner-reported readings. Click a column to sort.
Failure mode	System	Reports	With reading	25th	Median	75th	Per 1,000	Typical repair	Severity
Other electrical problem	electrical	19	14	72k	94k	114k	0.6	$250–$2,000	Moderate
Other engine problem	engine	18	17	38k	55k	78k	0.5	$300–$4,000	High
Other fuel system problem	fuel	18	14	45k	56k	74k	0.5	$300–$2,200	High
Other powertrain problem	transmission	17	10	47k	54k	100k	0.5	$400–$4,500	High
Blower motor or climate control failure	hvac	16	5	—	120k	—	0.5	$250–$1,200	Moderate
Other speed control problem	adas	14	12	35k	45k	51k	0.4	$250–$2,000	Critical
Other driver assistance problem	adas	8	5	—	78k	—	0.2	$250–$1,800	High
Other visibility problem	glass	8	6	—	113k	—	0.2	$150–$1,400	Moderate
Overheating	cooling	7	4	—	160k	—	0.2	$400–$3,500	High
Wiring harness or short circuit	electrical	7	6	—	139k	—	0.2	$400–$3,500	High
Other body or interior problem	body	6	4	—	4k	—	0.2	$200–$2,000	Moderate
Timing chain, belt or tensioner failure	engine	5	4	—	134k	—	0.2	$1,200–$4,500	Critical
Air conditioning failure	hvac	5	2	—	130k	—	0.2	$400–$2,800	Moderate
Stalling while driving	engine	4	4	—	77k	—	0.1	$300–$2,500	Critical
Misfire or rough idle	engine	4	3	—	68k	—	0.1	$250–$1,600	Moderate
Backup camera failure	infotainment	4	1	—	40k	—	0.1	$250–$1,200	Moderate
Master cylinder or brake booster failure	brakes	4	2	—	68k	—	0.1	$450–$2,200	Critical
Complete engine failure or seizure	engine	3	0	—	—	—	0.1	$4,500–$12,000	Critical
Transmission slipping	transmission	3	0	—	—	—	0.1	$1,200–$5,500	High
Airbag failed to deploy in a crash	airbag	3	3	—	38k	—	0.1	$1,000–$5,000	Critical
Cruise control failure	adas	3	3	—	42k	—	0.1	$200–$1,400	High
Rust or structural corrosion	body	3	3	—	21k	—	0.1	$500–$6,000	High
Sunroof failure or glass breakage	body	3	2	—	8k	—	0.1	$700–$4,500	High
Other steering problem	steering	3	2	—	81k	—	0.1	$350–$2,400	High
Fuel pump failure	fuel	2	1	—	5	—	0.1	$600–$2,600	High
Parasitic battery drain	electrical	2	2	—	90k	—	0.1	$200–$1,200	Moderate
Control module (ECM/PCM/BCM) failure	electrical	2	1	—	64k	—	0.1	$700–$3,000	High
Ignition switch, key fob or immobilizer failure	electrical	2	2	—	2k	—	0.1	$250–$1,500	High
Instrument cluster or gauge failure	infotainment	2	2	—	51k	—	0.1	$350–$1,400	Moderate
ABS module or sensor failure	brakes	2	2	—	87k	—	0.1	$500–$2,400	High
Exhaust leak or fumes in the cabin	emissions	2	2	—	18k	—	0.1	$250–$2,000	High
Other brake problem	brakes	2	2	—	49k	—	0.1	$300–$1,800	High
Water pump failure	cooling	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$500–$2,200	High
Radiator or coolant leak	cooling	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$350–$1,900	High
Complete transmission failure	transmission	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$2,800–$8,000	Critical
CV axle or driveshaft failure	drivetrain	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$450–$2,200	High
Differential or transfer case failure	drivetrain	1	1	—	4k	—	0.0	$900–$4,200	High
Fuel tank, filler or EVAP failure	fuel	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$250–$1,800	Moderate
Alternator or charging system failure	electrical	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$450–$1,600	High
Loss of braking	brakes	1	1	—	76k	—	0.0	$400–$3,000	Critical
Premature brake pad or rotor wear	brakes	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$300–$1,400	Moderate
Parking brake failure	brakes	1	1	—	138k	—	0.0	$250–$1,300	Moderate
Airbag warning light or occupant sensor fault	airbag	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$300–$1,600	High
Seat belt or retractor failure	airbag	1	1	—	23k	—	0.0	$200–$900	High
Liftgate, tailgate or trunk failure	body	1	1	—	4k	—	0.0	$250–$1,500	Moderate
Catalytic converter failure	emissions	1	0	—	—	—	0.0	$900–$3,500	Moderate
Other wheel or tire problem	wheels	1	1	—	60k	—	0.0	$200–$1,500	High
Unclassified problem	other	13	6	—	47k	—	0.4	—	Moderate

Rate per 1,000 uses a fleet-size estimate derived from recall paperwork for this exact model year. It is a lower bound. Repair costs are typical independent-shop ranges for the failure, not figures from these reports.

How often, against how many were built

Scaled by an estimate of how many of these cars exist, the 2015 Ford Expedition draws about 6.9 per 1,000 vehicles, which puts it in the 87th percentile of complaint rates among 2015 vehicles we can rate.

That denominator is the weakest number on the page and it is fair to say so plainly. Rate per 1,000 uses a fleet-size estimate derived from recall paperwork for this exact model year. It is a lower bound.

The working figure is 33,080 vehicles. If the true number is twice that, every rate on this page is half what it says; the ranking against other 2015 vehicles, which is what the risk score uses, is far more robust than the rate itself.

What owners wrote

Verbatim from NHTSA complaint narratives, trimmed for length. The odometer reading is the one the owner gave.

Recalls on the 2015 model year

NHTSA has issued 3 recall campaigns covering the 2015 Ford Expedition, affecting an estimated 88,425 vehicles. A recall is a different kind of evidence from a complaint: it is the regulator and the manufacturer agreeing that something has to be fixed, and the fix is free for as long as the car exists.

The campaigns cover back over prevention: sensing system: camera and electrical system:wiring:interior/under dash. Whether the work was actually done on the car in front of you is a question only the VIN can answer, and the manufacturer or NHTSA will answer it free.

One caution about reading these together: a recall usually raises the complaint count for the same part, because owners who read about it go and file. The mileages stay informative; the counts get noisy.

25V572000

BACK OVER PREVENTION: SENSING SYSTEM: CAMERA

1,456,417 vehicles 2025-09-03

Defect: Ford Motor Company (Ford) is recalling certain 2015-2019 Lincoln MKC, Mustang, F-350 SD, F-250 SD, F-450 SD, 2015-2017 Lincoln Navigator, Expedition, 2015-2018 Edge, Transit Connect, 2016-2019 F-550 SD, Transit, 2017-2019 Econoline, and 2019 Ranger vehicles. The rearview camera may display a distorted, inverted, or blank image when the vehicle is in reverse.
Consequence: A rearview camera that displays an inverted, distorted, or blank image can reduce the driver’s view behind the vehicle, increasing the risk of a crash.
Remedy: Dealers will inspect and replace the rearview camera as necessary, free of charge. Owner notification letters were mailed January 13, 2026. Ford owners will receive letters in phases, beginning January 2026 and June 2026. Owners may contact Ford customer service at 1-866-436-7332. Ford's number for this recall is 25S89. This recall expands previous NHTSA recall number 25V270. Vehicle Identification Numbers (VINs) involved in this recall will be searchable on NHTSA.gov beginning September 8, 2025.

25V270000

BACK OVER PREVENTION: SENSING SYSTEM: CAMERA

160,729 vehicles 2025-04-23

Defect: Ford Motor Company (Ford) is recalling certain 2015 F-250, F-350, F-450, Expedition, Lincoln Navigator, and MKC vehicles. The rearview camera printed circuit board terminal header connector may be loose or damaged, which can result in a blank or distorted image.
Consequence: A blank or distorted rearview camera image can reduce the driver's view of what is behind the vehicle, increasing the risk of a crash.
Remedy: Dealers will replace the rearview camera, free of charge. Owner notification letters were mailed October 16, 2025. Owners may contact Ford Customer Service at 1-866-436-7332. Ford's number for this recall is 25S42. This recall expands previous recall number 22V-082.

22V648000

ELECTRICAL SYSTEM:WIRING:INTERIOR/UNDER DASH

198,482 vehicles 2022-08-26

Defect: Ford Motor Company (Ford) is recalling certain 2015-2017 Ford Expedition and Lincoln Navigator vehicles. The front blower motor located behind the glove box may fail.
Consequence: Front blower motor failure can increase the risk of a vehicle interior fire.
Remedy: Dealers will replace the front blower motor assembly, free of charge. Owner notification letters were mailed August 4, 2023. Remedy parts are expected to become available in the second quarter of 2023. Owners may contact Ford customer service at 1-866-436-7332. Ford's number for this recall is 22S56.

Recall work is free at a franchised dealer regardless of the car's age. Check the VIN at nhtsa.gov/recalls before assuming it was done.

How it ranks in the 2015 field

The score at the top of the page, placed among its peers. The zones are the same thresholds the scorer applies, read out of the scorer itself, so the picture and the band word cannot disagree.

Risk score against the rest of the 2015 field

Scores are ranked within the model year, never across years, because an older car has had longer to accumulate reports.

Left fewer and less serious reports
Right more, or worse
Marker this vehicle

Better and worse years of the same car

High risk for a 2015 — 188th riskiest of the 273 2015 vehicles we can rate. Every score on this site is a rank inside its own model year, which is what makes a 2004 and a 2019 comparable at all.

Across the 30 model years of this car that carry enough reports to score, 2026 comes out best at 58 and 2003 worst at 78, with 2015 itself at 69.

If the model year is negotiable, 2026, 2014, 2013, 2000, 2002, 2001, 1999, 2010, 2025 and 2011 score lower than 2015 by a margin worth acting on. Same body, same engines, different luck — usually a supplier change or a mid-cycle fix, which the complaint data can show but never explain.

Within the 2015–2017 generation specifically, 2015 is the strongest year at 69 and 2017 the weakest at 72.

Scores compare each year against other cars of the same model year, so a low number on an older car is a real result and not an artefact of age.

Risk score by model year, out of 100

Shorter is better. Years with too few reports to score are shown without a bar rather than as a zero, because no data is not good news.

Within the 2015-2017 generation, 2015 Ford Expedition scores best at 69 and 2017 Ford Expedition worst at 72.

Where to spend the inspection money

The mileages below are where the first quarter of reports for each mode had already been filed, which makes them the point at which a fault is worth looking for rather than the point at which it happens: other speed control problem from about 35k, other engine problem from about 38k, other fuel system problem from about 45k and other powertrain problem from about 47k.

On a 2015 Ford Expedition with more miles than that on it, the useful question to put to a seller or a mechanic is whether other speed control problem has been dealt with, and if so with what parts and at whose expense. A car that has already had the repair is in a different position from one that has not.

Treat it as where to point the inspection, not as a prediction. A well-maintained example can sail past every mileage on this page, and a neglected one can fail well before the first of them.

The limits of complaint data

229 owner reports; fleet size estimated from this year's own recall paperwork. Every count on this page is therefore a floor: it is the number of owners who went to the trouble of filing with a federal agency, which is a small and self-selected fraction of the owners who had the fault.

Of those 229 reports, 152 carried an odometer reading, so the mileages here describe 66% of the sample rather than all of it. Owners also round: readings pile up on multiples of ten thousand, which is why this site publishes "about 90,000 miles" and not "91,438".

The failure modes are assigned by software reading the owner's own words, which is accurate in bulk and wrong in individual cases. A mode with a handful of reports may contain a misfiled one.

And nothing here predicts what one car will do. These are other people's complaints, filed years apart, on cars maintained by strangers. Read the page as a map of where this model year has previously gone wrong, then have the specific car in front of you inspected.

Questions this page answers

What are the most common problems with the 2015 Ford Expedition?

The most-reported failures are other electrical problem (19 reports, median 95,000 miles), other engine problem (18 reports, median 55,000 miles) and other fuel system problem (18 reports, median 55,000 miles). Counts come from owner complaints filed with NHTSA, which are voluntary, so they show what owners bothered to report rather than every fault that occurred.

At what mileage do 2015 Ford Expedition problems start?

Other speed control problem is the earliest failure mode to show up, with a median reported mileage of 45,000 miles and a quarter of reports before 35,000 miles. Across all failure modes on this year, the median report sits at 69,000 miles.

Is the 2015 Ford Expedition reliable?

It scores 69 out of 100 on our risk index, which is high — 188th riskiest of the 273 2015 vehicles we can rate. The score is a comparison against other 2015 vehicles, not a prediction about any individual car, and it is built from complaint rates, severity and how early failures appear.

Which year of the Ford Expedition is best?

Within the 2015–2017 generation, 2015 scores best at 69 out of 100 and 2017 worst at 72. Same body, same engines, different luck.

Where this comes from. Every figure above is computed from NHTSA owner complaints and recall records for this exact make, model and year. Complaints are voluntary and self-selected, so treat counts as a floor. The methodology page writes out each formula, and the same numbers are available as JSON.

What breaks at my mileage Compare with another car

Source Owner complaints and recall records published by the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, model years 1996–2027 Figures rebuilt 30 August 2026 Published by AtWhatMileage How every figure is computed