Complete transmission failure on the 2002 Dodge Grand Caravan
When complete transmission failure gets reported
Owners of the 2002 Dodge Grand Caravan report complete transmission failure at a median of 60,000 miles. A quarter of the reports come in before 50,000 miles and a quarter after 65,000 miles, from 9 reports that carried an odometer reading.
A part like this is normally expected to survive 98,000 miles. It is the 12th most-reported problem on this model year.
The mileage distribution
The reported range runs from 10,000 miles at the tenth percentile to 80,000 miles at the ninetieth, a spread of 73,600 miles across the middle 80% of reports.
When the reports scatter this far, the mileage is telling you about how these cars were driven more than about the part itself.
22% of the dated reports were filed under 36,000 miles.
The whole distribution
| 10th | 25th | Median | 75th | 90th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,600 miles | 48,600 miles | 60,000 miles | 64,000 miles | 81,200 miles |
Read the 10th percentile as “one report in ten arrived this early”. Exact figures are shown in this table because it is the table of record; everywhere else on the site they are rounded to the precision the sample can carry.
What a percentile can and cannot tell you here
These five numbers describe the readings owners gave, in order. The median is the middle one: half the reports arrived below it. The 10th and 90th are the edges of the bulk of the distribution, and the distance between them is the part worth reading. A tight spread — say 70,000 to 95,000 miles — points at something that wears out on a schedule, and the schedule is knowable. A wide one, 20,000 to 190,000, points at a fault that hits some cars and never troubles others, which means the mileage on the listing in front of you tells you very little about your odds.
What these figures are not is a survival curve. Every reading here comes from a car whose owner filed a complaint, so the sample contains only failures: it cannot say what share of the fleet made it past 150,000 miles untouched, because those owners had nothing to report. Nor is the mileage the moment of failure — it is the odometer reading as recalled at the time of filing, which may be weeks later and is sometimes rounded to the nearest ten thousand by the person typing it.
Percentiles are shown at all only once 8 readings exist for the vehicle and mode. Below that the middle of a handful of numbers is noise wearing a decimal point, so the figures are withheld rather than dressed up.
What happens, and what it costs
Putting it right typically runs $2,800–$8,000 at an independent US shop. That range is an editorial estimate held in this site's failure-mode catalogue, not a figure from NHTSA, and it is a repair cost rather than a diagnosis cost.
This mode is classified as critical, which means a failure can leave the car unable to stop, steer, or stay out of the way of traffic. It is weighted accordingly in the risk score.
The same failure on other years
The same failure is reported on 17 model years of this car. It shows up earliest on the 2007, at a median of 5,000 miles, and latest on the 2013 at 215,000 miles.
By volume the 1996 carries the most reports, with 66; the 2002 has 10. A mode that appears across most years of a model is usually a design choice rather than a bad batch.
If one year stands out to the left, that is the year to avoid; if the whole line sits at a similar mileage, this is wear rather than a defect in one production run.
Tick median reported mileage Solid middle half of reports Faint 10th to 90th percentile Colour how bad the failure is when it happens
What owners wrote
Verbatim from NHTSA complaint narratives, trimmed for length. The mileage is the one the owner gave.
At 7,600 miles in november of 2002 the automatic transmission failed. Dealer replaced the transmission with a rebuilt one. Since then the speedometer reads incorrectly. At lower speeds it reads under by 4 to 7 MPH, at higher speeds -- 60 MPH it reads 15 - 20 MPH under. I discovered this when on a road trip I was stopped for going 85 when I thought I was going 68 in a 70mph zone. I thought the police officer was crazy -- even protested and had him verify the callibration of his radar. His reading was confirmed when I passed a roadside speed indicator, and was stopped again. Speedometer was reprogrammed at a dealer in michigan after which it read 4 MPH under for the most part. Had it looked at by dealer in florida again in april 2004, they replaced a sensor. Since, it again reads 4 to 10 miles under at lower speeds -- e.g. When I think I'm going 35, I'm really going 42 or 43, at 65 MPH actual speed is 76mph. Dealer says its "the way you're driving" -- a poor excuse for shifting the blame and not making the repair correctly the first time when the transmission was replaced. This is a real hazard and safety issue not just for myself…
At 7,600 miles in november of 2002 the automatic transmission failed. Dealer replaced the transmission with a rebuilt one. Since then the speedometer reads incorrectly. At lower speeds it reads under by 4 to 7 MPH, at higher speeds -- 60 MPH it reads 15 - 20 MPH under. I discovered this when on a road trip I was stopped for going 85 when I thought I was going 68 in a 70mph zone. I thought the police officer was crazy -- even protested and had him verify the callibration of his radar. His reading was confirmed when I passed a roadside speed indicator, and was stopped again. Speedometer was reprogrammed at a dealer in michigan after which it read 4 MPH under for the most part. Had it looked at by dealer in florida again in april 2004, they replaced a sensor. Since, it again reads 4 to 10 miles under at lower speeds -- e.g. When I think I'm going 35, I'm really going 42 or 43, at 65 MPH actual speed is 76mph. Dealer says its "the way you're driving" -- a poor excuse for shifting the blame and not making the repair correctly the first time when the transmission was replaced. This is a real hazard and safety issue not just for myself…
1998 grand voyager was totaled in an accident. *mr the consumer then purchased a 2002 grand caravan, however at 50,0445 the transmission failed on the vehicle. Even after the consumer received a brand new transmission, the vehicle still not perform correctly, it took the technicians one week to find out from chrysler how to set the computer/ transmission. *jb
Also reported on the 2002 Dodge Grand Caravan
Airbag warning light or occupant sensor fault
Other steering problem
Control module (ECM/PCM/BCM) failure
Other body or interior problem
Other powertrain problem
Other electrical problem
How far this goes
Complaints are voluntary, so 10 is a floor and not a count of affected cars. Mileages are typed in by owners and cluster on round numbers. And the mode itself is assigned by software reading the complaint text, which is reliable in bulk and fallible one report at a time.
Questions this page answers
At what mileage does complete transmission failure happen on the 2002 Dodge Grand Caravan?
Across 9 owner reports that included an odometer reading, half were filed by 60,000 miles. A quarter were filed before 50,000 miles and a quarter after 65,000 miles. These are the mileages owners reported when they complained, not a prediction for any individual car.
How common is complete transmission failure on the 2002 Dodge Grand Caravan?
10 reports have been filed with NHTSA, about 0.2 per 1,000 vehicles. Complaints are voluntary, so this is a floor rather than a count of affected cars.
What this is and is not. These are the mileages at which owners chose to complain to a federal agency, which is not the same as the mileage at which the part fails on every car. It skews toward failures that happened outside warranty, cost real money, or frightened someone. It is still the only public dataset that carries failure mileage at all, and the shape of a few hundred readings is informative even when a single one is not. Methodology · JSON · this failure on other cars
Source Owner complaints and recall records published by the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, model years 1996–2027 Figures rebuilt Published by AtWhatMileage How every figure is computed