AtWhatMileage
Model year report

2016 BMW M3: what breaks, and at what mileage

What breaks on the 2016 BMW M3

Only 7 defect reports have been filed with NHTSA about the 2016 BMW M3, which is too few to compute mileage percentiles or a risk score. The reports reported other engine problem.

When each failure gets reported

Median
  1. Other engine problem 20k
  2. Differential or transfer case failure 3k
  3. Other powertrain problem 48k
  4. Other suspension problem 48k
  5. Other body or interior problem 48k

Tick median reported mileage Solid middle half of reports Faint 10th to 90th percentile Colour how bad the failure is when it happens

How reports accumulate

Share of reports filed by each mileage

Every report with an odometer reading, cumulative, from 0 to 200,000 miles. A curve that climbs early is a car with early problems, whatever its total.

  • Line share of reports filed by that mileage

Every reported failure mode

Mileage figures are percentiles of owner-reported readings. Click a column to sort.
Failure mode System Reports With reading 25th Median 75th Per 1,000 Typical repair Severity
Other engine problem engine 3 3 — 20k — 4.5 $300–$4,000 High
Differential or transfer case failure drivetrain 1 1 — 3k — 1.5 $900–$4,200 High
Other powertrain problem transmission 1 1 — 48k — 1.5 $400–$4,500 High
Other suspension problem suspension 1 1 — 48k — 1.5 $350–$2,000 Moderate
Other body or interior problem body 1 1 — 48k — 1.5 $200–$2,000 Moderate

Rate per 1,000 uses a fleet-size estimate derived from recall paperwork for this exact model year. It is a lower bound. Repair costs are typical independent-shop ranges for the failure, not figures from these reports.

What owners wrote

Verbatim from NHTSA complaint narratives, trimmed for length. The odometer reading is the one the owner gave.

Differential or transfer case failure

I've taken my vehicle in to the service dealer multiple times since I've purchased the car back in nov. 2016. I noticed a clunking and jolting sensation from my rear axle which I knew was not normal. The dealer after diagnosing the issue told me it is normal and there isn't an issue at all. Upon further research online and personal frustration knowing I'm paying for a new car which doesn't feel new at all, I found the attached recall notice. My car has a production date of may 20, 2016 which falls in between the timeline mentioned in the attached recall memo which will require a replacement of the rear differential. Also, searching online on the bmw m3 forums, many other owners of this similar vehicle have such an issue and I am worried this might also pose a safety threat to me. For these reasons, I am submitting this form here.

3,000 miles NHTSA complaint 1473498 filed 2018-06-05

Recalls on the 2016 model year

NHTSA has issued 3 recall campaigns covering the 2016 BMW M3, affecting an estimated 707 vehicles. A recall is a different kind of evidence from a complaint: it is the regulator and the manufacturer agreeing that something has to be fixed, and the fix is free for as long as the car exists.

The campaigns cover power train:driveline:driveshaft and structure:frame and members. Whether the work was actually done on the car in front of you is a question only the VIN can answer, and the manufacturer or NHTSA will answer it free.

Recalls also distort complaint counts. Publicity about a campaign reminds owners that complaining is possible, so reports for a recalled component often spike after the recall rather than before it.

18V713000

POWER TRAIN:DRIVELINE:DRIVESHAFT

2,661 vehicles 2018-10-11
Defect
BMW of North America, LLC (BMW) is recalling certain 2016-2017 BMW M3 Sedans, 2016-2017 BMW M4 and M4 GTS Coupes and 2017 BMW M4 Convertible vehicles. The connection between the driveshaft and the flange may fail resulting in a loss of propulsion.
Consequence
A loss of vehicle propulsion can increase the risk of a crash.
Remedy
BMW will notify vehicle owners, and dealers will replace the driveshaft, free of charge. The recall began April 9, 2019. Owners may contact BMW customer service at 1-800-525-7417.
16V653000

STRUCTURE:FRAME AND MEMBERS

196 vehicles 2016-09-09
Defect
BMW North America, LLC (BMW) is recalling certain model year 2016 BMW M2 Coupe vehicles, 2015-2017 M3 Sedan vehicles and 2015-2016 M4 Coupe and M4 Convertible vehicles. During servicing of the rear differential for a prior service action, the rear sub-frame bolts may have been reused instead of being replaced. Reuse of the existing bolts may cause the bolts to loosen.
Consequence
Loose rear sub-frame bolts may adversely affect vehicle handling and control, increasing the risk of a crash.
Remedy
BMW will notify owners, and dealers will replace the rear sub-frame bolts with new bolts, free of charge. The recall began on November 3, 2016. Owners may contact BMW customer service at 1-800-525-7417.
15V782000

POWER TRAIN:DRIVELINE:DRIVESHAFT

42 vehicles 2015-11-23
Defect
BMW of North America, LLC (BMW) is recalling certain model year 2015-2016 M3 Sedan vehicles manufactured May 30, 2015, to September 2, 2015, 2016 M4 Coupe vehicles manufactured July 3, 2015, to September 11, 2015, and 2015-2016 M4 Convertible vehicles manufactured May 29, 2015, to August 4, 2015. The affected vehicles have a driveshaft with a slip-joint that may not have been filled with grease. As a result, the slip-joint may fail over time.
Consequence
If the slip-joint fails, there would be a loss of power to the rear axle and therefore the vehicle would stop moving, increasing the risk of a crash.
Remedy
BMW will notify owners, and dealers will inspect the driveshaft, replacing it as necessary, free of charge. The recall began on January 14, 2016. Owners may contact BMW customer service at 1-800-525-7417.

Recall work is free at a franchised dealer regardless of the car's age. Check the VIN at nhtsa.gov/recalls before assuming it was done.

Every year of the BMW M3

Scores compare each year against other cars of the same model year, so a low number on an older car is a real result and not an artefact of age.

Risk score by model year, out of 100

Shorter is better. Years with too few reports to score are shown without a bar rather than as a zero, because no data is not good news.

What the reports on file say

The complaints recorded against the 2016 BMW M3 are other engine problem (3 reports, around 20k miles), differential or transfer case failure (1 report, around 3k miles), other powertrain problem (1 report, around 48k miles), other suspension problem (1 report, around 48k miles) and other body or interior problem (1 report, around 48k miles). With a sample this size these are anecdotes rather than a pattern, and they are shown because somebody looking at this exact car would rather see them than nothing.

Why this page is short

A model year needs about 8 reports before percentiles mean anything, and this one does not have them. Complaint volume tracks how many cars were sold and how long they have been on the road, so a thin page usually means a rare car, a new car, or a car whose owners do not file.

Other years of the same model do have enough: 1997, 1998, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2008 and 2009. The mechanical parts are often shared across those years, so their pages are the better guide to what this one is likely to do, with the caveat that a shared part is not a shared production line.

Where this comes from. Every figure above is computed from NHTSA owner complaints and recall records for this exact make, model and year. Complaints are voluntary and self-selected, so treat counts as a floor. The methodology page writes out each formula, and the same numbers are available as JSON.

What breaks at my mileage Compare with another car

Source Owner complaints and recall records published by the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, model years 1996–2027 Figures rebuilt Published by AtWhatMileage How every figure is computed