Tire blowout or tread separation: which cars, and at what mileage
Where tire blowout or tread separation shows up
Tire blowout or tread separation has been reported to NHTSA 9,765 times across 3,837 model years, and the median report arrives at 37,000 miles miles. Measured per 1,000 vehicles built, the 1997 Ford Thunderbird leads the list.
That is earlier than the 38,000 miles this part is normally expected to survive, which is usually why people file in the first place.
At what mileage are tire failures reported?
What tire blowout or tread separation means here
Complaints are assigned to this mode by matching the owner's own description against a phrase list held in the failure-mode catalogue. The match is made on the text, never on the part number, because owners describe symptoms and not components. It is accurate in bulk and fallible one report at a time.
Where it has to be repaired rather than lived with, $200–$1,500 is the range this site publishes for an independent US shop. It is an editorial estimate, not a figure from NHTSA, and it does not include diagnosis or the labour a dealer would add.
The catalogue classes this mode as critical, which is what decides its weight in every risk score it contributes to.
Where it starts earliest
Ranked by median reported mileage instead of by rate, the earliest onset is on the 2023 Mercedes Benz E 450. Sorted that way the leaders are 2023 Mercedes Benz E 450 at 100 miles, 2021 Forest River Cherokee at 900 miles and 2004 Cadillac Srx at 900 miles.
Early onset and high rate are different findings. A car that reports this failure rarely but at 40,000 miles is a warranty problem; one that reports it often at 140,000 miles is closer to wear. Both belong on the page, and neither answers the other's question.
Ranked by median reported mileage, lowest first. The faint bar runs from the 10th percentile to the median, so a long tail to the left means some owners hit it very early indeed.
Tick median reported mileage Solid middle half of reports Faint 10th to 90th percentile Colour how bad the failure is when it happens
Which vehicles report it most
The table below ranks 40 model years by reports per 1,000 vehicles built rather than by raw count, which is the only way a ranking like this stays honest: a model that sold two million copies will out-report one that sold thirty thousand even if it is the better car.
At the top, the 1997 Ford Thunderbird shows 182 per 1,000 with 8 reports on file.
Ford accounts for 43% of the worst-affected entries on this list, which usually means a shared part, a shared platform, or a shared supplier rather than 17 separate faults.
Longer is worse. The denominator is an estimate of how many of that model year are on the road, derived from the vehicle counts in recall campaigns, so a rare car with a real problem can outrank a common one. Colour is the vehicle's overall risk band, not this mode alone.
| Vehicle | Reports | Per 1,000 | Median | Reported early | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 Ford Thunderbird | 8 | 181.8 | — | 0% | High confidence |
| 2005 Chevrolet Silverado 2500 | 8 | 131.1 | 98k | 14% | High confidence |
| 2006 Chevrolet Silverado 2500 | 8 | 131.1 | 106k | 38% | High confidence |
| 2004 Ford Explorer | 8 | 46.2 | 103k | 25% | High confidence |
| 2003 Chevrolet Silverado 2500 | 13 | 44.5 | 110k | 25% | High confidence |
| 2001 Chevrolet Silverado 2500 | 12 | 41.1 | 82k | 33% | High confidence |
| 2007 Ford F-150 | 10 | 16.8 | 35k | 50% | High confidence |
| 2003 Ford Expedition | 31 | 11.3 | 66k | 13% | High confidence |
| 2023 Mercedes Benz E 450 | 10 | 10.1 | 50 | 100% | Moderate confidence |
| 1996 Dodge RAM 2500 | 11 | 7.2 | 225k | 0% | High confidence |
| 1998 Dodge RAM 2500 | 10 | 6.5 | 42k | 50% | High confidence |
| 1998 Dodge RAM 1500 | 10 | 6.5 | 93k | 0% | High confidence |
| 2011 Toyota Camry | 8 | 5.2 | 10k | 86% | High confidence |
| 2004 Keystone Cougar | 8 | 2.9 | 7k | 100% | Moderate confidence |
| 2021 Forest River Cherokee | 8 | 2.6 | 870 | 100% | Moderate confidence |
| 2002 Chevrolet Silverado 2500 | 8 | 2.5 | 109k | 0% | High confidence |
| 1999 Chevrolet Suburban | 38 | 1.5 | 46k | 13% | High confidence |
| 2000 Ford Excursion | 58 | 1.2 | 55k | 25% | High confidence |
| 2004 Ford F-350 SD | 13 | 1.0 | 59k | 8% | High confidence |
| 2006 Ford F-250 | 8 | 0.9 | 65k | 0% | High confidence |
| 2001 Dodge RAM 1500 | 10 | 0.9 | 34k | 50% | High confidence |
| 1999 Toyota Camry | 9 | 0.7 | 158k | 0% | High confidence |
| 2003 Ford F-250 | 11 | 0.7 | 144k | 14% | High confidence |
| 2004 Ford F-250 SD | 8 | 0.6 | 105k | 17% | High confidence |
| 2004 Nissan Maxima | 19 | 0.6 | 39k | 46% | High confidence |
| 2000 Ford F-350 | 32 | 0.5 | 22k | 60% | High confidence |
| 2005 Nissan Maxima | 17 | 0.5 | 175k | 13% | High confidence |
| 2000 Ford F-250 | 29 | 0.5 | 109k | 30% | High confidence |
| 2000 Subaru Outback | 10 | 0.5 | 34k | 50% | High confidence |
| 1999 Chevrolet Venture | 8 | 0.4 | — | 0% | High confidence |
| 2002 Ford F-250 | 9 | 0.3 | 60k | 20% | High confidence |
| 2000 Ford F-350 SD | 16 | 0.3 | 31k | 54% | High confidence |
| 1999 Chevrolet Tahoe | 8 | 0.3 | 68k | 0% | High confidence |
| 2001 Ford F-350 SD | 15 | 0.3 | 38k | 50% | High confidence |
| 2021 Toyota Rav4 | 10 | 0.3 | 18k | 50% | High confidence |
| 2000 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 | 9 | 0.3 | 77k | 0% | Moderate confidence |
| 2002 Ford F-350 | 8 | 0.3 | 84k | 0% | High confidence |
| 2002 Ford F-350 SD | 14 | 0.3 | 29k | 69% | High confidence |
| 1999 Ford E-450 | 14 | 0.3 | 17k | 100% | High confidence |
| 2007 Chevrolet Silverado 2500 | 8 | 0.3 | 75k | 13% | High confidence |
“Reported early” is the share of this vehicle's reports for this mode that came in below 36,000 miles. Rates are missing where we have no fleet-size estimate for that model year.
How to read this page
Nothing here is a defect investigation. It is a count of what owners chose to write to a federal agency about, sorted so that the sales figures do not decide the order. 9,765 reports is a floor: for every owner who filed, some number simply paid the bill and moved on.
If a specific car matters to you, the useful page is the model-year one, where this mode is shown against every other failure reported on the same vehicle. A single failure mode read on its own always looks worse than it is.
Questions this page answers
Which cars have the most tire blowout or tread separation complaints?
Per 1,000 vehicles built, the 1997 Ford Thunderbird leads with 8 reports. Ranking by rate rather than raw count keeps high-volume models from topping the list on sales alone.
At what mileage does tire blowout or tread separation usually get reported?
Across the whole fleet the median report is at 37,000 miles. Individual model years vary widely, which is what the table below shows.
Why the two lists differ. A mode can be common and late (wear that everyone eventually meets) or rare and early (a genuine defect in one production run). The second is what you want to avoid when buying, and it only becomes visible when you separate rate from timing. Both columns come from the same reports; neither is a failure rate, because complaints are voluntary. How this is computed.
Source Owner complaints and recall records published by the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, model years 1996–2027 Figures rebuilt Published by AtWhatMileage How every figure is computed