AtWhatMileage
Model line · 1996–2027

Ford Explorer: which years to buy, and what breaks on them

Best and worst years of the Ford Explorer

Of the 31 model years of the Ford Explorer that carry enough owner reports to score, 1999 comes out best at 63 out of 100 and 2026 worst at 83. The scores rank each year against other cars of the same model year, so an older one is not penalised for having had longer to break.

37,886 owner reports across 32 model years, 19,378 of them carrying an odometer reading. 31 years carry enough reports to score.

The year to buy, and the year to avoid

Both figures are ranks against other vehicles of the same model year, so the two are comparable even when the years are a decade apart. Each links to that year's full report.

The year to buy

1999 Ford Explorer

63/100 High risk

Best of 32 years on 1,737 owner reports, its own worst problem being other wheel or tire problem. Evidence behind the score: high confidence.

The year to avoid

2026 Ford Explorer

Risk 83 of 100 from 49 reports, worst problem seat belt or retractor failure.

Severe Moderate confidence confidence

How much the year actually matters

The gap between the best and worst year is 20 points on a 100-point scale, which is wide enough to be worth acting on when two cars are otherwise comparable.

Across every year of the Ford Explorer, owners have filed 37,886 reports with NHTSA. The 2002 accounts for the largest share at 4,097, which can mean a genuinely troublesome year or simply the year that sold best and has been on the road longest.

What tends to break across the Ford Explorer

Taking the most-reported failure from each model year, the recurring problems on the Ford Explorer are other powertrain problem (worst mode in 9 years), other wheel or tire problem (worst mode in 6 years) and other steering problem (worst mode in 4 years). A fault that heads the list in most years is characteristic of the design; one that heads a single year is usually a batch or a supplier.

Every model year, scored

Risk score by model year, out of 100

Shorter is better, and the outlined row is the best year of the line. A year with too few reports to score is shown without a bar rather than as a zero, because no data is not the same as no problems.

Lower risk is better. “Median report” is the odometer reading at which half of that year's reports had been filed. The best and worst year of the line carry a coloured edge. Click a column to sort.
Year Reports Per 1,000 Median report Most reported problem Recalls Risk Confidence
1996 Ford Explorer 1,818 2.5 127k Other wheel or tire problem 11 65 High confidence
1997 Ford Explorer 2,150 3.0 100k Other wheel or tire problem 12 66 High confidence
1998 Ford Explorer 2,374 3.3 100k Other wheel or tire problem 14 66 High confidence
1999 Ford Explorer 1,737 2.4 80k Other wheel or tire problem 15 63 High confidence
2000 Ford Explorer 1,203 1.7 78k Other wheel or tire problem 15 64 High confidence
2001 Ford Explorer 503 1.1 91k Other wheel or tire problem 12 65 High confidence
2002 Ford Explorer 4,097 17.1 79k Other powertrain problem 10 73 High confidence
2003 Ford Explorer 1,369 5.7 74k Other powertrain problem 7 67 High confidence
2004 Ford Explorer 1,647 9,520.2 65k Other powertrain problem 4 75 High confidence
2005 Ford Explorer 604 3,491.3 70k Other powertrain problem 3 71 High confidence
2006 Ford Explorer 788 55.2 60k Other powertrain problem 4 77 High confidence
2007 Ford Explorer 271 12,904.8 69k Other powertrain problem 3 76 High confidence
2008 Ford Explorer 217 434.9 78k Ignition switch, key fob or immobilizer failure 3 70 High confidence
2009 Ford Explorer 49 7,000.0 67k Seat belt or retractor failure 1 74 Moderate confidence
2010 Ford Explorer 155 23.3 43k Other speed control problem 2 76 High confidence
2011 Ford Explorer 1,501 7.2 65k Other steering problem 8 72 High confidence
2012 Ford Explorer 1,032 4.9 62k Other steering problem 7 68 High confidence
2013 Ford Explorer 2,796 13.3 73k Other steering problem 12 71 High confidence
2014 Ford Explorer 2,045 9.7 63k Other steering problem 7 70 High confidence
2015 Ford Explorer 2,227 10.6 52k Other engine problem 9 72 High confidence
2016 Ford Explorer 3,028 12.3 45k Other engine problem 15 74 High confidence
2017 Ford Explorer 2,047 6.6 41k Other body or interior problem 14 72 High confidence
2018 Ford Explorer 886 4.2 39k Other body or interior problem 7 71 High confidence
2019 Ford Explorer 341 1.6 47k Other body or interior problem 6 65 High confidence
2020 Ford Explorer 1,703 21.4 16k Other powertrain problem 33 81 High confidence
2021 Ford Explorer 559 7.0 37k Other powertrain problem 26 76 High confidence
2022 Ford Explorer 363 4.6 38k Other powertrain problem 24 76 High confidence
2023 Ford Explorer 151 2.7 10k Lane keep or steering assist fault 15 77 High confidence
2024 Ford Explorer 26 0.5 5k Other driver assistance problem 10 75 Moderate confidence
2025 Ford Explorer 150 1.4 23k Control module (ECM/PCM/BCM) failure 20 74 High confidence
2026 Ford Explorer 49 1.9 7k Seat belt or retractor failure 13 83 Moderate confidence
2027 Ford Explorer 0 0.0 — — 1 not rated Unrated
What each column means

Reports counts owner complaints filed with NHTSA against that model year. Filing is voluntary and unverified, so the count is a floor on how often something went wrong, never a census. It also rises with how many cars were sold, which is why the next column exists.

Per 1,000 divides those reports by an estimate of how many of that model year are on the road, so a common car and a rare one can be compared. The estimate comes from the vehicle counts in recall campaigns covering the same model year, which is the only per-model fleet figure published free of charge; where no recall covers a year, this column is blank rather than guessed.

Median report is the odometer reading at the midpoint of that year's reports: half of the readings owners gave were below it. It is a description of when problems get reported, not a prediction of when this car will break, and it needs at least eight readings before it is shown at all.

Risk is a 0–100 score combining how often reports arrive relative to fleet size, how serious they are, and how early they land, ranked against other vehicles of the same model year only. Confidence says how much evidence sits behind it: a low score on thin evidence is a shrug, not a clean bill of health. Both are defined in full on the methodology page.

Generations, and why the boundary matters

The Ford Explorer splits into generations: 1996–2001 (best 1999, worst 1997), 2002–2005 (best 2003, worst 2004), 2006–2010 (best 2008, worst 2006), 2011–2019 (best 2019, worst 2016) and 2020–2027 (best 2025, worst 2026). Comparing years inside one generation is the fair comparison — same body, same engines, usually the same suppliers.

Generation boundaries here are inferred from the pattern of model years in the data rather than taken from manufacturer documentation, so they are occasionally a year out. Where a boundary matters to a purchase, check it against the build date on the car.

Each generation of this model, with its best and worst scoring year and the gap between them
Generation Years Best year Worst year Spread
1996-2001 1996–2001 1999 Ford Explorer 63 1997 Ford Explorer 66 3
2002-2005 2002–2005 2003 Ford Explorer 67 2004 Ford Explorer 75 8
2006-2010 2006–2010 2008 Ford Explorer 70 2006 Ford Explorer 77 7
2011-2019 2011–2019 2019 Ford Explorer 65 2016 Ford Explorer 74 9
2020-2027 2020–2027 2025 Ford Explorer 74 2026 Ford Explorer 83 9

How to use this page

The honest way to read a table like this is worst-first: rule out the years with high scores and heavy complaint volume, then choose among the rest on condition, history and price. A low score is not a promise, and a high one is not a verdict on the specific car in front of you.

Every figure comes from owner complaints filed with NHTSA and from recall records, both voluntary in the sense that nobody audits them for completeness. Counts are floors. The AtWhatMileage methodology page sets out each formula.

Questions this page answers

What is the best year for the Ford Explorer?

Of the model years we can rate, 1999 Ford Explorer scores best at 63 out of 100, based on 1,737 owner reports. 2026 scores worst at 83.

Which years of the Ford Explorer should you avoid?

2026 has the highest risk score in this model line at 83 out of 100. The scores compare each year against other vehicles of the same model year, so they are not affected by age alone.

How the generations are drawn. NHTSA does not publish generation boundaries, so ours are inferred from breaks in the recall and complaint record and from the model's own year range. They are close to the enthusiast consensus but not authoritative — if a boundary looks wrong for a car you know well, tell us and we will fix the table rather than argue with you.

Source Owner complaints and recall records published by the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, model years 1996–2027 Figures rebuilt Published by AtWhatMileage How every figure is computed